Patch's Poll: Who Will Win the 2012 Presidential Election, Obama or Romney?

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees, Patch wants to know: Who are you betting on?

It's official: With President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, both the Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin.    

A lot can change between now and Nov. 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.   

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable, but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Pundits have been busy for months handicapping the major-party candidates on various factors: incumbent advantage, fundraising clout, even religion.

Patch wants to know: Regardless of who you support for President, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Vote in our poll below, and let us know your reasoning in the comments.

Richard Poulton September 15, 2012 at 11:26 PM
Now there is a non-biased news organization. Ya right. Huffington Post is a far left as a new organization can go. Thats why on-line sights like AOL continually bombard customers with pro Obama adds, and as well as here on the Patch, with those continued adds to join these two at a party or a birthday. Why. there owned by Huff Post as well. Talk about suttle brain-washing. And people talk about Fox news.
The Best Patriot September 16, 2012 at 12:34 AM
The Repubs have nothing but false anti Obama propaganda to provide. They appeal to the ignorant voters who make their choice from billboard signs.
The Best Patriot September 16, 2012 at 12:40 AM
There are no Romney supporters, only Obama haters..
The Best Patriot September 16, 2012 at 12:47 AM
Well if you don't like that pole Richard, here's a few more. http://www.politico.com/p/2012-election/polls/president Guess you'll have some excuses about all these? Even Fox News Poll has Obama ahead. Obama 2012
The Best Patriot September 16, 2012 at 01:04 AM
Mitt Robme: Show us your tax returns so we can see: 1. How much you've cheated on your taxes and 2. How much you've cheated your church by under tithing.
The Best Patriot September 17, 2012 at 02:09 PM
In your dreams. Robme and LyingRyan are burns toast. Read it and weep. http://www.politico.com/p/2012-election/polls/president
The Best Patriot September 17, 2012 at 03:40 PM
That movie is more Teabagger propaganda that people who can't fact check believe.
Sam Samuels September 19, 2012 at 06:25 PM
Ahhh, but I bet he can show you his birth certificate! :-)
Richard Poulton September 19, 2012 at 06:40 PM
Question, has he produced the tax returns required by law? To 20 R.K., and you are a federal tax account and would see a fraud return if you could read it? Don't you think if the IRS found something illegal they would be all over this guy? People like these tax complainers are jealous that they can't use the Federal Tax code to its fullest. Don't like people of wealth using "llop holes' get Congress to close them, like that will ever happen. Far to many millionairs in Congress that use these loop holes.
The Best Patriot September 20, 2012 at 11:53 AM
WE have only had two businessmen as President: Hoover and Bush 2.... that worked well…. 2 worst economic collapses in world history. Bush 2 was born with a silver spoon, went to an expensive Prep school, was a cheerleader, avoided Vietnam, a Chicken hawk, got a Harvard MBA, bankrupted companies and became a Governor. Mitt was born with a silver spoon, went to an expensive Prep school, was a cheerleader, avoided the draft as a missionary in a Castle in the south of France, a chicken hawk, got a Harvard MBA and bankrupted companies and became a Governor. The difference is one made money for themself out of bankruptcies, stock pump and dumps and stuck others with the bills…. Bush wasn't that clever or dishonest. The only republican to balance the budget and not explode deficits was IKE, with a top tax rate of 91%. I'm sorry Mitt, but it was all those Harvard MBAs on Wallstreet with even more business experience than you, and like you that had made themselves even much richer, who were so GOOD at business and outsourcing, deindustrializing America like you... that they then had to be bailed out not very long ago.... We really need more of your Business experience! I mean making money cutting jobs/wages, outsourcing and the stock pumps and dumps before declaring bankruptcy, laying the pension and unmployment cost on the taxpayers doesn't translate to the Presidency very well anymore than it did in Massachusetts. Obama 20112
The Best Patriot September 20, 2012 at 12:58 PM
Richard: Dont' you understand the words "we" and "us". Let me explain, it means show the returns to all of US. Or a play of words. Show them to all of the U.S. But he won't because of what he's hiding. 1) Cheating on his taxes and 2) Under ththing the required 10% to his "church"
The Best Patriot September 20, 2012 at 02:56 PM
Just to let you Republicans know that your vote in Connecticut does not matter. There are only 9 swing states now that matter. Connecticut is a all or nothing electoral State and it votes Democratic, so it's all going to Obama. But if you want to waste your time and gas to get one of those little stickies that says "I Voted and Made a Difference" go ahead if it makes you feel better. Just don't get duped into believing you made a difference. More bad news for Robme. http://www.pollheadlines.com/poll-category.php?category=obama-vs-romney Obama 2012
The Best Patriot September 22, 2012 at 08:54 PM
For you repubs whining about sealed records:PRESIDENT OBAMA’S COLLEGE RECORDS ARE NOT SEALED!!!!! It would be illegal under federal law (the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act of 1974) for Occidental, Columbia or Harvard Law School to give any former student’s records to reporters or members of the public without that person’s specific, written permission. Obama hasn’t released them, but neither have other presidential candidates released their college records. George W. Bush’s poor grades at Yale eventually became public, but only because somebody leaked them to the New Yorker magazine. Bush himself refused to release them, according to a 1999 profile the Washington Post. These are also things that are not sealed regards President Obama: -His thesis paper -His Selective Service registration (The President registered for the draft on Sept. 4, 1980 and was given registration number 61-1125539-1) -His Medical records. -His birth certificate IS NOT SEALED. Copies of both the “short” and “long” certificates have been released and state officials in Hawaii have said repeatedly that Obama was born there in 1961 and is a “natural born American citizen.” -His baptism record. (He was baptized in 1988 in Rev. Jeremiah Wright’s Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago. He was married in that church and his daughters were baptized there also.) -He NEVER received Foreign Student aid. That was an April Fool’s Day hoax in 2009. ~ Fact Check . org
The Best Patriot September 26, 2012 at 02:00 PM
Stick a fork in Robme/Lying they are finished. http://www.pollheadlines.com/poll-category.php?category=obama-vs-romney
Daria Novak September 26, 2012 at 03:54 PM
I have a long answer and am numbering the posts since it won't fit in one comment. I am writing a though out response because I believe it is important. It is fact-based ans askes questions. It is not a "birther" argument. Please think about it. Response One Everyone has a right to their opinion and to respectfully express their view. I am expressing mine here and it will take two posts. President Obama could have settled the issues surrounding his personal background once and for all by opening all his records. There are real, legitimate questions to be addressed. Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi changed her certification of Barrack Obama in the last election 24 hours after she signed and certified the official paper declaring him legally able to run for office. Both documents are certified and on record. The first declares he is a citizen and legally fulfills the requirements to run. That document was withdrawn by Pelosi and rewritten. She recertified him a day later removing the phrase that Barrack Obama was a “citizen.” Today it simply says he is “legally” able to run for President! This has NEVER been done before by any candidates for president. How did Obama travel and live in Pakistan (which he admits) during a period when it was illegal for American citizens to travel to that nation? He could have traveled if on a foreign passport. Otherwise, he broke American law if he was an American citizen. Am I wrong about that logic? I don't think so.
Daria Novak September 26, 2012 at 03:54 PM
Response Two When Obama attended college at Occidental he "supposedly" was admitted as a foreign student and received foreign student assistance. To settle this he could have allowed the college to release his application to the school and redacted (blacked out) everything except the part showing he applied as an American citizen. He hid it and chose not to do so. This would have settled an issue that didn't exist for other presidents. This man has chosen proactively, over and over again, to avoid or hide what should be simple answers. No one, including the President, has been able to answer how or why he has a CT social security number when at the time those number he now possesses was reserved for those born in CT. His relative, an aunt I believe, worked in the Hawaii Social Security office. When a man with the President's social security number died in Hawaii with no family claiming social security benefits, Obama started using that number. That man was born in CT and had a legal CT social security number. The aunt had access to the numbers in her position. Obama didn’t use that social security number until about a year after the CT resident died in Hawaii.
Daria Novak September 26, 2012 at 03:55 PM
Response 3 There also are questions about the Chicago property the President owns. In that city a PIN (Property Identification Number) is attached to each parcel, in perpetuity. It doesn’t change with owners. That number is redacted on the President’s income taxes! Why? It was discovered that the number has been changed from inside the Chicago City Records Office, not once, but several times after Obama bought it. Look at other listed owners of the property during the SAME period Obama has owned it. One was a friend of his who is a judge and another, the accounting firm Obama used for his finances. Then we should ask who gave the president his favorable mortgage when he didn’t qualify for it under normal guidelines. I for one, would like to know who was behind the mortgage deal. It took down Donovan here in CT, is hurting Murphy for Senate, and it should be addressed in the President’s case, too! I can’t go into all the questions surrounding the President here, but these are a sampling of the real issues that scare the heck out of the Democrats. To avoid responding they call names and cast aspirations. The reason, in my opinion, is they have no defense. Notice I never brought up the birth certificate itself. I don’t have to because there are so many other issues of which I only touched on a few surrounding this man’s identity. As citizens and voters we have a right and a duty to be informed and to know who Obama is since he wants to be our leader.
The Best Patriot September 26, 2012 at 09:54 PM
How about some links to back all this up? Otherwise it's just more "tin foil hat" propaganda stuff from the right..
Evan DeFrancesco September 26, 2012 at 10:37 PM
All of your claims have been debunked, and I shudder to think that you might have represented us in Washington. 1) The "Pelosi's In On It" Claim - the only reference I could find about this was on the WND website. WND has never been known for its journalistic excellence or its unwavering support for an unbiased truth, so while this claim might be right, as I've found nothing to dispute, I would take it with a grain of salt. You were once a college professor, right? Surely you know about using reputable sources? 2) The "He Illegally Travelled to Pakistan" Claim - This one is 100% false. All American citizens, at least according to the State Department, which is a more reputable source than WND, were able to legally travel to Pakistan in 1981. Since Barack Obama is an American citizen, he was more than able to travel to Pakistan without breaking the law. Furthermore, a New York Times (I know, I know, a nasty liberal rag mag) reporter, Barbara Crossette, traveled to Pakistan in 1981 and wrote about it in her column. (http://www.factcheck.org/2009/06/more-birther-nonsense-obamas-1981-pakistan-trip/ http://www.nytimes.com/1981/06/14/travel/lahore-a-survivor-with-a-bittersweet-history.html?scp=1&sq=lahore%20travel%201981&st=cse)
Daria Novak September 26, 2012 at 10:40 PM
20 Row Kid - not a problem to prove....just Google any of the info. It is in the public domain. Here's a startign place for you. -- You can view the President's redacted income tax return online. You will see the property number blocked out in black. -- You can physically visit the Chicago City Hall's Records Office to view the actual land documents and see the changes to President Obama's property record made right there! The office personnel will admit this is illegal to do when questioned but have no idea how is occured or hwo in the office did it. The office is open to the public. -- CT, like all other states, had 3 specifics digits assigned to the state to use for Social Security numbers. They are the first three digist of the number. The President's SS # is available. You can check out the number and compare it. It is a CT number although he was not born in CT and has never lived here. These are facts, not propaganda. That is why President Obama is hiding his background, in my opinion. We know less about this man than any other president. Here's a fun one.... maybe some Patch reader can confirm this? President Obama, apparently, has been without jewelry (watch, wedding ring, etc) during the Muslim period of Ramadan this year. Is it a coincidence? Just asking as it is my understanding that Muslims do not wear jewlery during this period. I would love someone to debunk this - I just haven't been able to confirm it one way or the other.
Evan DeFrancesco September 26, 2012 at 10:46 PM
3) The "He's A Foreign Student" Claim- again, this is just an April Fool's Day hoax, proven by factcheck.org. That story came about in an E-mail, supposedly from the AP. According to the Associated Press, "The story purported to be from The Associated Press on April 1 is fake." (http://www.factcheck.org/2009/05/was-obama-born-in-the-usa/) 4) The "SSN is Fake" Claim- this one, I admit, is a bit fishy, but there is a reasonable explanation, it seems. Social Security Numbers are assigned based on where one wants the card to be sent, not the address at which one resides. (http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/geocard.html) The zip code for Honolulu, where young Obama lived, is 96814. The zip code for Danbury, CT is 06814. 9 and 0 are right next to each other on a keyboard. Handwritten, it is very possible for someone to mistake them. Most likely, a human typing error caused the discrepancy. As for Obama having Jean Paul Ludwig's SSN, that is also false. JPL's SSN is 045-26-8722. Obama's SSN is 042-68-4425. Not the same. (http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/birthers/ssn.asp)
Evan DeFrancesco September 26, 2012 at 10:54 PM
Ms. Novak, you might have been our elected official in Washington. That scares me. That scares me a great deal. You have shown time and time again that you do not care about facts, but only about pandering to an extreme base and fear-mongering for your own ideological reasons. It seems like you have taken most of your claims from things floating around the internet as e-mail chain letters or from dubious websites. Did you even stop to consider the veracity of these claims? Or do you not care? I fear it may be the latter. I expect more from someone who wants to be a representative. There are enough bozos down in Washington; we don't need any more.
The Best Patriot September 27, 2012 at 12:10 AM
Daria: Do you walk around the Capital wearing your tin foil hat? This is what you spend you time on?
The Best Patriot September 27, 2012 at 12:17 AM
Evan, thanks for clearing up those false propaganda claims made by Daria. You would think she would be spending her time doing more than witch hunting. But that's all the republicans have to offer. Remember there are no Romney supporters only Obama haters.
Daria Novak September 27, 2012 at 04:43 AM
Evan, hopefully we will vote out any "bozos" we have in office now. But, come on, quit with the name-calling. We all have a right in this free nation to hold our own opinions whether or not we agree with that person's arguments. Can't you see it demeans you and your arguments? Re Social Security numbers... they no longer are issued using the place of birth criteria as in the past. One can't apply today's method to yesterday's issue of the CT number for the President. You are mixing apples and oranges. In addition, my understanding is that the sequence doesn't fit the age of the president. Finally, many, many of us believe strongly in Romney and that he will put this country back on the correct path. I am FOR Mitt Romney. He is a good and generous man. His tax returns indicate he gave much more to charity than our President. I admire Mitt Romney for being successful and for making his own fortune in a highly respectable company. It is good to be successful. He left the private sector where he could have eanred a much greater fortune to become a public servant in Mass. He chose to give back. Mitt Romney is living the American dream. I want him to be successful, too, when he is running the nation from the White House. Mitt Romney's religion precludes him from bragging about his charitable work or personal goods deeds. I truly respect that he abides by his beliefs. He has given much more to charity than our President, according to the IRS forms released.
Evan DeFrancesco September 27, 2012 at 05:00 AM
We have a right to our own opinions, Ms. Novak. We do not have a right to our own facts, as you seem to think. My argument stands on its own. There are many bozos in this world. You just ruined your own claim about the SSN. You wrote, "No one, including the President, has been able to answer how or why he has a CT social security number when at the time those number he now possesses was reserved for those born in CT." Okay. But then you write, "they [SSNs] no longer are issued using the place of birth criteria as in the past. " So, which is it? You seem to be contradicting yourself. Let me tell you this: as of 2011, SSNs are no longer issued using the MAILING ADDRESS, not birth place, as the criterion for the first three digits. So whenever Barack Obama received his social security number (presumably when he was born, in 1961), it was done so on the basis of where it was requested that his social security card be sent. It has NOTHING, NOTHING to do with age. I am not mixing apples and oranges. You are mixing fact with fiction. (http://www.socialsecurity.gov/employer/randomization.html) Again, I ask that you stop the fear-mongering and the spreading of lies. It weakens and demeans YOU and YOUR argument.
The Best Patriot September 27, 2012 at 12:04 PM
Daria: Here is how it should work for a person in your position. First get the facts and understand them; from that information you can form opinions. Not the way you seem to work. You form opinions then magically try and turn them into facts.
Ericko D October 10, 2012 at 03:00 PM
Daria, 23 million Americans are out of jobs because useless GOP policies which Romney supported during the time tenure of Bush until 2008. Which kind of economy did Bush inherit from Clinton? How many jobs did the economy shed when Obama took office ? Has the economy not been creating jobs even if slowly for the past four years?. During last four years what has GOP been doing? Fighting the president driven by racism !!!! Whether GOP followers like it or NOT Obama wins this election. After Obama onother DEM takes over. DEM's to rule for next 60 yrs. Let then GOP prepare for tougher times ahead.
Steve Bristol October 10, 2012 at 04:11 PM
Ericko D What kind of economy did Bush 'inherit' from the Clinton administration?--A recession, largely due in part to the unsustainability of the huge .com bubble that had triggered economic expansion. Then, just 10 months into Bush's first term, we suffered a terrible attack on our country and economic center--at least partly due to Clinton failing to kill bin Laden when he had the chances. Further, it was the Democrat Party that controlled Congress during Bush's final two years--including your ballyhooed Obama. That 'dog whistle' claim of racism is getting old. Heck, even when Pelosi charged numerous racist taunts being made as the Democrats marched into the House--an event covered by MANY news outlets--nobody has been able to produce any electronic evidence of it. Of course, that's their SOP...make outrageous claims w/o any shred of evidence, make them often enough, and hope people actually believe them. In your case, it obviously works. How about the Ag dropping an already won case of voter intimidation in Philly by Black Panthers? Talk about racism. Funny how when Bush was in office, we heard EVERY DAY what gas prices were and how they were "Bush's fault." We hear nothing with BHO as POTUS on this topic as well as several others. How about explaining how the Democrat-controlled Senate has yet under BHO to vote on a single budget put forth by Harry Reid, who still has the numbers to push one through. BHO may be re-elected. I sure hope not.
Momauguin Joe October 10, 2012 at 04:27 PM
Yeah, Romney will shut down the banksters who run the country. LOL.


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