Will Hurricane Sandy Be Worse Then Irene on Cosey Beach Avenue?

Hurricane Sandy Potential Impacts Along Cosey Beach Ave East Haven

Based on the 5pm update just released from the National Hurricane Center, the center of Hurricane Sandy is expected to pass west of Connecticut about mid day on Tuesday. This puts our state on the east side of the storm which will result in the greatest potential for storm surge along coastal Connecticut. We will also have an astronomical high tide as there will be a full moon on the Tuesday. As the storm makes its way up the eastern seaboard and into cooler ocean waters, it is expected to begin transitioning into an extratropical system. This should result in some loss of storm intensity, however, at the same time, a broadening of the wind field will occur. The forward motion of the storm is predicted to be somewhat atypical of tropical systems that effect the Northeast. This is because tropical systems usually increase in forward speed the higher they are in latitude. This is not predicted to occur. Thus with a wind field well ahead of the storm due to broadening of the storm itself as it transitions and takes on extratropical characteristics, and a slower forward motion, the result will be a prolonged wind event for our area. Combined with an astronomical high tide and the center passing west of here as was the case with Irene, we could very well see conditions along Cosey Beach Avenue in East Haven that are similar if not worse then experienced during Irene. 

Data from my weather station mounted on the roof of The Town Beach House can be accessed at: www.weatherlink.com/user/johndigiovanni

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

Richard Poulton October 27, 2012 at 05:38 PM
John, thanks for that weather link. Interesting site.
John R. DiGiovanni October 28, 2012 at 02:52 AM
Thanks to all those who left appropriate comments. When I wrote the article over a couple days ago, I was hoping that things would have changed by now for the better. Unfortunately, as we all know, that did not happen. The center of the storm is expected to make landfall somewhere along the southern N.J. coast in the early hours of Tuesday morning. This is actually a less desirable scenario than the center of the storm passing closer. This track will result in winds out of the east and southeast essentially flooding The Sound. Keep in mind that winds during Irene were out of the south and southeast. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a maximum storm surge of 4 - 8 feet. This not only likely exceeds the observed surge of 4.5 ft during Irene, it exceeds any forecast that was issued for storm surge (for Irene). Lastly, I certainly could have edited the post in regards to "then vs than" after receiving the comment from Grammar Enforcer. But, the criticism was not delivered in a constructive manor. Additionally, the point I was trying to make was clearly made. About the only thing that would have been accomplished by editing it would be making those who clearly lack self esteem, feel a little more comfortable about themselves. Even, if only for a short amount of time.
Julie Weisberg October 28, 2012 at 03:15 AM
John: Thank you for your update. We appreciate it!
John R. DiGiovanni October 28, 2012 at 11:32 AM
Thank you Julie!
John R. DiGiovanni October 28, 2012 at 11:34 AM
Latest storm surge prediction from the National Hurricane Center for L.I. Sound has been increased to 5 - 10 feet.


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